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MBB + WBB plus/minus vs. Arizona St. Premium Story
Jerome Randle

Posted Jan 19, 2008

Helped by not playing in most of the second overtime and not having to get saddled with a -9, Nikola Knezevic led the men's team in plus/minus with a +3 in Cal's 99-90 double overtime loss to Arizona State at Haas Pavilion on Thursday. For the women, Lauren Greif had a +20 in the Bears' 64-51 win over the Sun Devils in Tempe.

Men's:  Arizona State 99, California 90

Usually during overtime games, teams abandon their usual substitution patterns and stick with one combination all the way through unless: a) they feel the need at some point to substitute offense for defense, b) get better free throw shooters in the game or c) either to replace someone due to foul trouble or reduce the chance of that player picking up a fifth.  Consequently, barring something odd, whoever plays in overtime where generally all end up at the very top of this list or at the very bottom.

For most of overtime, the Bears went with a lineup of Nikola Knezevic, Jamal Boykin, Jamal Christopher, Ryan Anderson, and DeVon Hardin.   That grouping first appeared in Thurdsay's game with 1:41 left in the first half   and the Bears up four.

Player Min +Pts -Pts Pts Reb Ast Diff
Nikola Knezevic 20 42 39 2 0 4 +3
Ryan Anderson 46 85 86 32 15 0 -1
Harper Kamp 10 18 20 0 1 0 -2
Jerome Randle 38 66 69 10 2 5 -3
David Liss 10 21 24 0 0 2 -3
Eric Vierneisel 32 59 64 6 1 1 -5
Jamal Boykin 24 41 47 7 4 0 -6
Patrick Christopher 41 71 85 23 4 4 -14
DeVon Hardin 29 47 61 10 1 1 -14

First vs. Second Half (minimum 2 minutes)

First Half Top - Jerome Randle - 20-14, +6  
Second Half Top - Ryan Anderson - 43-40, +3

Overtimes - Jamal Boykin - 7-8, -1

First Half Bottom - Jamal Boykin - 15-17, -2
Second Half Bottom - Patrick Christopher - 32-39, -7

Difference Makers

With Nikola Knezevic in 20 minutes - 42-39, +3
Without Knezevic in 30 minutes - 48-60, -12

With Ryan Anderson in 46 minutes - 85-86, -1
Without Anderson in 4 minutes - 5-13, -8

With Patrick Christopher in 41 minutes - 71-85, -14
Without Christopher in 9 minutes - 19-14, +5

Without DeVon Hardin in 29 minutes - 47-61, -14
Without Hardin in 21 minutes - 43-38, +5

Lineups

Starting lineup
(1H + 2H) Knezevic, Vierneisel, Christopher, Anderson, Hardin in 6:57 - 11-18, -7
(1OT + 2OT) Randle, Boykin, Christopher, Anderson, Hardin in 7:01 - 7-13, -6
Randle, Vierneisel, Christopher, Anderson, Hardin in 9:14 - 18-20, -2
All other lineups in 26:48 - 54-48, +6

Randle/Knezevic/Liss lineups:

This game was the first time in a long time that the Bears had success with Randle and Knezevic in the backcourt at the same time.  In the first half, the Bears were down 23-22 when the two were paired at the 7:47 mark, and by the time Knezevic checked out at the 1:49 mark, the Bears were leading by five.  In the second half, the Bears were down one, 63-62 with 8:59 left and by the time Knezevic left the game with 1:41 remaining in the second half, the Bears were leading 80-76.  Except for a four second period in the second overtime, the two were not paired for the rest of the game.

Lineups with two:

Randle and Knezevic lineups 13:16 31-20, +11
Ranlde and Liss lineups 2:50 3-7, -4
TOTAL 16:06 34-27, +7

Lineups with one:

Randle lineups 21:47 32-41, -9
Knezevic lineups 6:52 11-18, -7
Liss lineups 5:11 13-12, +1
TOTAL 33:50 56-71, -15

Lineup with three:

Randle, Knezevic and Liss lineups 0:04 0-1, -1
  0:04 0-1, -1

Contribution Evaluation

Player Minutes Expected Actual Difference
Anderson 46 -8.28 -1 +7.28
Knezevic 20 -3.60 +3 +6.60
Randle 38 -6.88 -3 +3.88
Kamp 10 -1.80 -2 -0.20
Vierneisel 32 -5.76 -5 -0.76
Liss 10 -1.80 -3 -1.20
Boykin 24 -4.32 -6 -1.68
Christopher 41 -7.38 -14 -6.62
Hardin 29 -5.22 -14 -8.78

Description: This stat measures the significance of a player's contribution to the team's effort. If a team wins by 10 points, and a player plays in half of the team's minutes, his expected contribution would be a +5. For example, when Cal defeated Grambling by 19 points. Brian Wethers played 28 minutes or 70% of the game. If we multiply 70% x +19, Wethers' expected contribution would be a +13.30. But for the game he was a +26, so his net for the game for a +12.70. In a perfect team situation, if everyone contributed equally, the difference column would consist of a row of zeros.


Women's:  California 64, Arizona State 51

Player Min +Pts -Pts Pts Reb Ast Diff
Lauren Greif 30 53 33 5 4 3 +20
Alexis Gray-Lawson 38 60 43 8 5 6 +17
Devanei Hampton 34 57 44 28 9 1 +13
Natasha Vital 38 58 47 6 3 6 +11
Ashley Walker 32 54 47 13 7 4 +7
Rama N'Diaye 13 15 11 0 6 0 +4
Kelsey Adrian 14 8 8 0 1 0 0
Shantrell Sneed 11 15 22 4 0 1 -7

First vs. Second Half (minimum 2 minutes)

First Half Top - Alexis Gray-Lawson - 32-17, +15
Second Half Top - Lauren Greif - 30-23, +7

First Half Bottom - Shantrell Sneed - 11-11, 0
Second Half Bottom - Shantrell Sneed - 4-11, -7

Starting Lineup

Vital, Greif, Gray-Lawson, Hampton, Walker in 16:09 - 36-15, +21
All other lineups in 23:51 - 28-36, -6

Difference Makers

With Lauren Greif in 30 minutes - 53-33, +20
Without Greif in 10 minutes - 11-18, -7

With Alexis Gray-Lawson in 38 minutes - 60-43, +17
Without Gray-Lawson in 2 minutes - 4-8, -4

With Devanei Hampton in 34 minutes - 57-44, +13
Without Hampton in 6 minutes - 7-7, 0

With Shantrell Sneed in 11 minutes - 15-22, -7
Without Sneed in 29 minutes - 49-29, +20

Contribution Evaluation

Player Minutes Expected Actual Difference
Greif 30 +9.75 +20 +10.25
Gray-Lawson 38 +12.35 +17 +4.65
Hampton 34 +11.05 +13 +1.95
N'Diaye 13 +4.22 +4 -0.22
Adrian 4 +1.30 0 -1.30
Vital 38 +12.35 +11 -1.35
Walker 32 +10.40 +7 -3.40
Sneed 11 +3.57 -7 -10.57

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